操同事v3.03.8377.38

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原标题：FREE PICK! A FINE match to bet on!

Borac Banja Luka VS Omonia Nicosia FC

Borac Banja Luka in this UEFA Europa Conference League (UECL) league phase round 6 clash at Gradski stadion Banja Luka early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play! UECL is the third-best of UEFA's three club competitions. The visitors are a Cypriot team, the hosts come from Bosnia and Herzegovina. A match of somewhat average quality by this league's standards is on the cards here.. Banja Luka have taken a fine 41 points in 17 games, losing only two matches in their domestic league, WWIN Liga BIH. Their score difference is excellent – 35:8 to be precise. The eight goals conceded is - together with Zrinjski -  the smallest number in this league! The situation going into this match is very interesting.. Borac Banja Luka are very close to becoming the first club from Bosnia and Herzegovina to advance to the Playoffs of a UEFA club competition.. All the hosts need to do is avoid losing this game! The probability of a draw is much bigger than in a "normal" football game. The probability is, in my expert opinion, around 50%. For Omonia one point might not be enough, but with a big probability it will be? Seven points will most likely be enough if the score difference is not bad.. Indeed, if several teams have the same number of points, goal difference is the deciding factor. Omonia have taken six points and have a score difference of 7:7. There are five teams with four points, but with a weak goal difference.. Astana -4 , HJK Helsinki -5 , St. Gallen -8 and Noah -8. Furthermore, Mlada Boleslav and Molde lock horns today so just one of them could topple Omonia..Indeed, this means three teams left - Hearts (play against Petrocub), Basaksehir (challenging away match against Cercle Brugge) - Celje faces TNS from Wales at home.. In conclusion, if all four win - Mlada Boleslav or Molde, Hearts, Basaksehir and Celje – a draw will not be enough for Omonia.. However, if even one of the four teams listed above drop points, then a draw is all Omonia need.. I expect a cagey game here – at least in the first half.. Omonia will, of course, be aware of the score in the four other games.. If it seems they really need to win to qualify they will of course take big risks but even in this situation the draw could well happen as Banja Luka will defend hard.. We will take the Banja Luka +0.5 goals handicap option here!

Banja Luka have won a great seven of their last nine matches! At home they have won six of their last eight matches. They have loud and loyal fans who offer a big boost to the players! In their last game they beat Sloboda 3-2 on the road, recording many more shots on goal than the hosts – 10-2 to be precise. The hosts' Delimdjac was sent off in the 53rd minute, when the score was 1-2, though. In round 5 of the UECL Banja Luka were, in all honesty, disappointing - far from their best.. Indeed, they lost to Shamrock Rovers 0-3 in Ireland. The hosts played better than usual and deserved the three points. However, the final score is somewhat misleading. The hosts recorded only three more goal attempts – 9-6. Before this Banja Luka lost to Zrinjski 1-2, the current leaders of the WWIN League, 0-1 at home and were not at their best.. However, both teams had eight goal attempts and either team could easily have won the game.. On the 8th of this month Banja Luka easily beat GOSK Gabela 2-0 away from home, allowing the hosts just two shots on target. On the 1st of this month Banja Luka crushed Sloga Doboj 4-0 at home, allowing the visitors just two goal attempts and one shot on target! In round 4 of the UECL Banja Luka defeated a much bigger Austrian team, LASK, 2-1 at home as underdogs. The LASK's Siebenhandl was sent off in the first half though. The hosts dominated the events on the pitch, recording 16 more goal attempts and six more shots on target than the Austrians. LASK generated only 0.38 in expected goals (xG). Before this Banja Luka beat Sloga Doboj 2-0 very easily on the road. The hosts were able to do hardly anything offensively! The hosts' S. Milosevic was sent off in the fifth minute though.. Even taking the red card into account, Banja Luka's performance was very strong. Omania are in 4th place in the Cyprus League and are having a somewhat mediocre season. Yes, they are the better team in terms of pure class but not by a big margin.. They have lost 3/5 their games in the UECL. They have taken a win in four of their last nine games, winning 4/9. In their most recent match they lost to Achnas 0-1 on the road as very clear favourites – priced around 1.55 to win by the bookmakers. Omonia very disappointing as a whole - the hosts even recorded more goal attempts and shots off goal. Omonia had two more shots on target though. Before this they beat an Austrian team, SK Rapid, 3-1 at home but the visitors recorded many more goal attempts – 19-11. Both teams generated 1.46 in xG .Indeed, the final score flatters the team from the island of Cyprus..

Thanks to all my fans and GOOD LUCK!

巴尼亚卢卡队VS尼科西亚队

北京时间周五凌晨，巴尼亚卢卡队将在格拉茨基球场进行欧联杯联赛第6轮比赛。这是最后一轮比赛了！欧冠联赛是欧足联三大俱乐部赛事中排名第三的。客队是一支塞浦路斯球队，主队来自波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那。按照这个联盟的标准，一场质量一般的比赛是有可能的。巴尼亚卢卡在17场比赛中拿到了41分，在他们的国内联赛WWIN Liga BIH中只输了两场比赛。他们的比分差距很大，确切地说是35:8。8个失球——加上兹林斯基——是联赛中丢球最少的！进入这场比赛的形势非常有趣。巴尼亚卢卡非常接近成为波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那第一个进入欧足联俱乐部比赛季后赛的俱乐部。东道主所要做的就是避免输掉这场比赛！平局的可能性比“正常”的足球比赛要大得多。在我的专家看来，这种可能性在50%左右。对Omonia来说，一分可能还不够，但很有可能会足够。如果分数差不太大的话，七分很可能就足够了。事实上，如果几支球队得分相同，净胜球就是决定性因素。Omonia已经得了6分，目前的比分差距是7:7。有五支球队得4分，但净胜球差很小。阿斯塔纳-4，赫尔辛基HJK -5，圣加仑-8和诺亚-8。此外，Mlada Boleslav和Molde今天发生了争执，所以只要其中一个就能推翻Omonia…事实上，这意味着剩下三支球队——哈兹（对阵Petrocub），巴萨塞希尔（挑战客场对阵布鲁日Cercle），切莱耶在主场迎战威尔士的TNS。总之，如果四人全部获胜——姆拉达·博尔斯拉夫或莫尔德、哈兹、巴萨克谢希尔和切列——一场平局对Omonia来说是不够的。然而，如果上面列出的四支球队中有一支丢分，那么Omonia只需要平局。我希望这是一场谨慎的比赛——至少在上半场。当然，Omonia会知道其他四场比赛的比分。如果他们真的需要赢得比赛才能出线，他们当然会冒很大的风险，但即使在这种情况下，巴尼亚卢卡也会努力防守，平局很可能发生。我们将采取巴尼亚卢卡+0.5进球障碍选项在这里！

巴尼亚卢卡队在最近的9场比赛中赢了7场！在主场，他们赢了最近8场比赛中的6场。他们拥有响亮而忠诚的球迷，他们为球员提供了巨大的推动力！在上一场比赛中，他们客场3-2击败斯洛博达，射正的次数比东道主多得多——准确地说是10-2。东道主的迪莱贾克在第53分钟被罚下，当时比分是1-2。在UECL的第5轮比赛中，巴尼亚-卢卡，说实话，令人失望——远远不是他们的最佳状态。事实上，他们在爱尔兰以0比3输给了三叶草流浪者。东道主踢得比平时好，理应得到三分。然而，最终的分数多少有些误导。东道主只尝试了三次射门——9比6。在此之前，巴尼亚卢卡1-2输给了兹林斯基，目前WWIN联赛的领头羊，主场0-1，状态不佳。然而，两队都有8次射门机会，任何一支都可以轻松赢得比赛。本月8日，巴尼亚-卢卡在客场2-0轻松击败加贝拉，只让东道主射正两球。本月1日，巴尼亚·卢卡在主场4-0大胜斯洛卡·多博伊，客队只有两次射门机会，一次射正！在UECL的第四轮比赛中，巴尼亚卢卡队在主场以2比1击败了规模大得多的奥地利球队LASK。尽管上半场，LASK的西本汉德尔被红牌罚下。东道主在赛场上占据主导地位，比奥地利多出16次进球和6次射正。LASK只生成了0.38的预期目标（xG）。在此之前，巴尼亚卢卡在客场以2-0轻松击败了多博伊。东道主几乎没有什么进攻性的举动！东道主米洛舍维奇在第五分钟被罚下。即使考虑到这张红牌，巴尼亚卢卡的表现也非常强劲。阿曼在塞浦路斯联赛中排名第四，本赛季表现平平。是的，就纯粹的水平而言，他们是更好的球队，但差距并不大。他们在欧冠联赛中输掉了3/5的比赛。他们在最近的9场比赛中取得了4胜，4胜9负。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场0-1输给了阿克纳斯，他们是非常明显的夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的赔率约为1.55。整个比赛非常令人失望——东道主的射门次数和射偏次数甚至更多

谢谢我所有的粉丝，祝你们好运！

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